There's been plenty of good pre-super tuesday analysis out there on the intertubes, and the emerging consensus is that it will be a fairly even split in delegates, and that the more important aspect is the media coverage afterword. Who "won" and "lost" is largely a product of the expectations and what suprises we see.
This post is a non-comprehensive collection of some important Super Tuesday pieces that will help you digest the information tsunami about to come your way. Keep these predictions in mind as you watch the results.
- Everything you want to know about the primaries and caucuses on Super Tuesday, from Sabato.
- The New York Times gets in on the state by state delegate race.
- CNN's Super Tuesday page. Results at their Election Center.
- Chris Bowers on must win and swing states for the candidates. That's from Saturday, here is his Monday "Nomination at a Glance."
- Marc Ambinder has his projections and also some Clinton spin about the Obama spin.
- Kos has some needed temperance to Obama supporters exuberant with his recent upward momentum. As he says,
It's all about how well he loses. The narrower the loss, the bigger his actual victory.
- Speaking of expectations, Political Wire has statements from both campaigns.
- Andrew Sullivan rounds up the Obama expectation spin. The campaign says losing by more than 100 delegates is a loss.
- Meanwhile, Clinton's January fundraising numbers are out, something to keep in mind as this race goes on and on. Obama raised $32 million in January, mostly from small donors. Clinton pulled in $13.5 million.
- It may be a little late now that we're watching results, but this sage advice from the former Mystery Pollster Mark Blumenthal about understanding polls is a must read.
- Does De Niro like Obama? Lil bit.